{"id":2632,"date":"2026-06-02T12:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mikhailinvest.com\/90-oil-could-lift-indias-inflation-to-4-8-and-slow-gdp-growth\/"},"modified":"2026-06-02T12:30:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T09:30:00","slug":"%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e4%b8%8a%e6%b6%a8%e8%87%b390%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e5%b0%86%e5%8d%b0%e5%ba%a6%e7%9a%84%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e7%8e%87%e6%8e%a8%e9%ab%98%e8%87%b34-8%ef%bc%8c%e5%b9%b6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mikhailinvest.com\/zh\/90-oil-could-lift-indias-inflation-to-4-8-and-slow-gdp-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"$90 \u6cb9\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u5370\u5ea6\u901a\u80c0\u63a8\u9ad8\u81f3 4.81TP3 \u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e76\u51cf\u7f13 GDP \u589e\u957f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"speakable\">\u5370\u5ea6\u8d22\u5bcc\u548c\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8 360 ONE Capital \u5468\u4e8c\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5230\u660e\u5e74 3 \u6708\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5e73\u5747\u4e3a\u6bcf\u6876 $90\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5230 2027 \u8d22\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u52a0\u901f\u81f3 4.8%\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u4fee\u8ba2\u540e\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9884\u6d4b\u5047\u8bbe\u5c40\u52bf\u5c06\u57286\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u7f13\u548c\uff0c2027\u8d22\u5e74\u539f\u6cb9\u5747\u4ef7\u4e3a$90\/\u6876\uff0c\u201d\u8be5\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u62a5\u9053\u63f4\u5f15\u4e86\u2026\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aninews.in\/news\/business\/indias-cpi-inflation-expected-to-rise-to-48-with-crude-oil-averaging-usd-90bbl-in-fy27-report20260602084704\/\">\u5370\u5ea6\u5a92\u4f53<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e 360 ONE Capital \u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3 4.81 \u4e07\u4ebf\u5362\u6bd4\uff0c\u800c GDP \u589e\u957f\u5c06\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u671f\u7684 6.71 \u4e07\u4ebf\u5362\u6bd4\u653e\u7f13\u81f3 6.31 \u4e07\u4ebf\u5362\u6bd4\u3002\u8be5\u673a\u6784\u8fd8\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6cb9\u4ef7\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u548c\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u6237\u8d64\u5b57\u5c06\u4f1a\u6269\u5927\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c360 ONE Capital \u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201d\u5982\u679c\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u57fa\u672c\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u518d\u4e0a\u6da8 $10\/bbl\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u63a8\u9ad8\u81f3 5.6%\uff08\u5047\u8bbe\u7ea6 5% \u7684\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4f1a\u90e8\u5206\u4f20\u5bfc\u81f3\u96f6\u552e\u71c3\u6599\u4ef7\u683c\uff09\uff0c\u4f7f GDP \u589e\u957f\u7387\u518d\u4e0b\u964d 40 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f3 5.9%\uff0c\u4f7f\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u6237\u8d64\u5b57\u6269\u5927\u81f3 GDP \u7684 2.5%\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u589e\u52a0\u81f3 GDP \u7684 4.8%\u3002\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e09\u5927\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Indias-Inflation-Accelerates-as-High-Energy-Prices-Start-to-Bite.html\">\u56db\u6708\u4efd\u52a0\u901f\u53d1\u5c55<\/a> \u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5f00\u59cb\u4f20\u5bfc\u81f3\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5bf9\u5916\u90e8\u51b2\u51fb\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e2d\u65ad\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u6cb9\u4ef7\u98d9\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u77ed\u671f\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Indias-Central-Bank-Warns-Oil-Shock-Threatens-Growth.html\">\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u98ce\u9669<\/a> \u5370\u5ea6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\uff08RBI\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u9762\u4e34\u4e0a\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5047\u8bbe\u4e2d\u4e1c\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u4e0d\u5229\u5f71\u54cd\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5f97\u5230\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u622a\u81f32027\u5e743\u6708\u76842026-27\u8d22\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u8fbe\u52306.913\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u5927\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbi.org.in\/Scripts\/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=62821\">\u8bf4<\/a>\u00a0\u5728\u5176 2025-26 \u5e74\u5ea6\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5370\u5ea6\u592e\u884c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728 2025-2026 \u8d22\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5168\u7403\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a 7.6%\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a 2.1%\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u80fd\u6765\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u79cd\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4e0b\u5168\u7403\u71c3\u6599\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\u3001\u5bf9\u6295\u5165\u548c\u5de5\u8d44\u6210\u672c\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\u4ee5\u53ca\u6c47\u7387\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u201d\u8be5\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6307\u51fa\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201d\u8003\u8651\u5230\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u9884\u8ba12026-27\u8d22\u5e74\u7684CPI\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a4.6%\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u5411\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aOilprice.com \u7684 Tsvetana Paraskova<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u66f4\u591a\u6765\u81ea Oilprice.com \u7684\u70ed\u95e8\u6587\u7ae0<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Pakistan-Inflation-Accelerates-to-117-on-Oil-and-Gas-Import-Shock.html\">\u53d7\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8fdb\u53e3\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u901a\u80c0\u52a0\u901f\u81f311.71\u4e07\u4ebf\u5362\u6bd4\u3002<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Rystad-US-Iran-Re-Escalation-Could-Drive-Oil-To-180-By-August.html\">Rystad\uff1a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u7ea7\u6216\u5c06\u6cb9\u4ef7\u63a8\u81f38\u6708$180\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/BP-Starts-Production-at-Trillion-Cubic-Foot-Gas-Prize-In-Azerbaijan.html\">BP\u5728\u963f\u585e\u62dc\u7586\u542f\u52a8\u4e07\u4ebf\u7acb\u65b9\u82f1\u5c3a\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5f00\u91c7\u9879\u76ee<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>India\u2019s inflation is set to accelerate to 4.8% in the fiscal year 2027, if oil prices average $90 per barrel through March next year, Indian wealth and asset manager 360 ONE Capital said in a report on Tuesday. \u201cOur revised base case assumes de-escalation by mid-June, with crude oil averaging $90\/bbl in FY27,\u201d the asset [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":280549882,"featured_media":2633,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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