{"id":2527,"date":"2026-06-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T21:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mikhailinvest.com\/the-iran-wars-first-90-days-upended-energy-markets\/"},"modified":"2026-06-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T21:00:00","slug":"%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e7%88%86%e5%8f%91%e5%90%8e%e7%9a%84%e5%89%8d90%e5%a4%a9%e9%a2%a0%e8%a6%86%e4%ba%86%e8%83%bd%e6%ba%90%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e3%80%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mikhailinvest.com\/zh\/the-iran-wars-first-90-days-upended-energy-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u540e\u7684\u524d90\u5929\u98a0\u8986\u4e86\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u573a"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u7a81\u7136\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5e02\u573a\u539f\u672c\u6301\u7eed\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u8fc7\u5269\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e2d\u65ad\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea2\u670828\u65e5\u7f8e\u4ee5\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u53d1\u52a8\u7a7a\u88ad\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9b\u5e94\u5df2\u635f\u593110\u4ebf\u6876\uff0c\u6cb9\u6c14\u4ef7\u683c\u89e6\u5e95\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4e14\u51e0\u4e4e\u6bcf\u5929\u90fd\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u8def\u7ebf\u53d1\u751f\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u6cb9\u8f6e\u8fd0\u8d39\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u4e9a\u6d32\u5df2\u51fa\u73b0\u5b9e\u9645\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u539f\u6cb9\u548c\u71c3\u6599\u5e93\u5b58\u6b63\u5728\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u8017\u5c3d\u6b64\u524d\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u963b\u6b62\u6cb9\u4ef7\u98d9\u5347\u81f3$150\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u7f13\u51b2\u80fd\u529b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5173\u95ed\uff0c\u8fd9\u6761\u627f\u62c5\u7740\u5168\u7403201TP3\u5428\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8fd0\u8f93\u7684\u54bd\u5589\u8981\u9053\u7684\u901a\u884c\u80fd\u529b\u9aa4\u964d\u7ea6901TP3\u5428\uff0c\u4e2d\u4e1c\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u88ab\u8feb\u8fc5\u901f\u524a\u51cf\u4e0a\u6e38\u4ea7\u91cf\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u50a8\u6cb9\u7a7a\u95f4\u5df2\u6ee1\u3002\u5168\u7403\u539f\u6cb9\u65e5\u4ea7\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc71000\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u7684\u589e\u4ea7\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u5f25\u8865\u8fd9\u4e00\u635f\u5931\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u65e9\u57283\u67082\u65e5\u5c31\u505c\u6b62\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u751f\u4ea7\u5916\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u548c\u963f\u8054\u914b\u7684\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u963b\u788d\u3002\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u57283\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5176\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u51fa\u53e3\u80fd\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u6062\u590d\u5230\u6218\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Qatar-to-Lose-20-Billion-Annual-Revenue-from-Iranian-Attacks-on-LNG.html\">\u6700\u957f\u4e94\u5e74<\/a> \u7531\u4e8e\u4f0a\u6717\u5bfc\u5f39\u88ad\u51fb\u4e86\u62c9\u65af\u62c9\u51e1\u7efc\u5408\u8bbe\u65bd\uff08\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6db2\u5316\u8bbe\u65bd\uff09\uff0c\u8be5\u8bbe\u65bd\u906d\u5230\u7834\u574f\u3002. <strong class=\"related\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Oil-Prices\/Supermajor-Warns-Oil-Prices-Could-Hit-160-Within-Weeks.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u76f8\u5173\u62a5\u9053\uff1a\u77f3\u6cb9\u5de8\u5934\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u51e0\u5468\u5185\u8dcc\u81f3$160\u7f8e\u5143<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u7ecf\u5931\u53bb\u4e86 <em>10\u4ebf\u6876<\/em> \u539f\u6cb9\u548c\u51dd\u6790\u6cb9\u4f9b\u5e94\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81eaKpler <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kpler.com\/blog\/running-out-of-barrels-cumulative-oil-losses-reach-782-mbbls-closing-in-on-1000-mbbls-by-late-may\">\u663e\u793a<\/a>. \u622a\u81f35\u670822\u65e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u539f\u6cb9\u548c\u51dd\u6790\u6cb9\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4f9b\u5e94\u635f\u5931\u5df2\u8fbe9.61\u4ebf\u6876\uff0c5\u6708\u5e95\u5df2\u7a81\u783410\u4ebf\u6876\u5927\u5173\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u6301\u7eed\u65bd\u538b\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u505c\u4ea7\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u4ea7\u91cf\u4e5f\u5728\u7f13\u6162\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u53ef\u80fd\u53c8\u670910\u4e07\u6876\/\u65e5\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u4ea7\u80fd\u505c\u4ea7\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>Kpler \u7684 Naveen Das \u4e0a\u5468\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u201c\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9010\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u533a\u57df\u4f9b\u5e94\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8feb\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e9b\u81ea\u7136\u9700\u6c42\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u9650\u5236\u590f\u5b63\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u8fb9\u9645\u589e\u957f\u201d\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e2d\u65ad\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e93\u5b58\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\u3002, <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Crude-Oil\/US-Crude-Oil-Gasoline-Inventories-Continue-Freefall.html\">\u5305\u62ec<\/a> \u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u79ef\u7d2f\u4e86 <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/China-Boosts-Oil-Stockpiles-Despite-Import-Plunge.html\">\u5927\u91cf\u7f13\u51b2\u5e93\u5b58<\/a> \u636e Kpler \u79f0\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc7 12 \u4ebf\u6876\uff0c\u800c\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u7684\u9646\u4e0a\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u5374\u4ee5\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>5\u6708\u521d\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u4e0b\u964d\u901f\u5ea6\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e150\u4e07\u6876\/\u65e5\u3002Kpler\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e0b\u964d\u901f\u5ea6\u5df2\u8dc3\u5347\u81f3\u8fd1170\u4e07\u6876\/\u65e5\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u672a\u6765\u4f9b\u5e94\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7d27\u5f20\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u822a\u8fd0\u8d39\u7387\u548c\u822a\u7ebf\u4e5f\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u6839\u672c\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u5b83\u6b63\u4ece\u7ea2\u6d77\u6e2f\u53e3\u5ef6\u5e03\u51fa\u53e3\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c\u7ed5\u8fc7\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\uff1b\u800c\u963f\u8054\u914b\u6b63\u5728\u63d0\u5347\u5e76\u8ba1\u5212\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\u5176\u5728\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u8fd0\u8f93\u80fd\u529b\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/ADNOC-to-Double-Hormuz-Bypass-Export-Capacity-With-New-Pipeline-in-2027.html\">\u901a\u5f80\u5bcc\u67e5\u4f0a\u62c9\u7684\u65b0\u7ba1\u9053<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u7684\u6cb9\u8f6e\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u50ac\u751f\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u822a\u8fd0\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002\u5173\u95ed\u5e94\u7b54\u5668\u7684\u201c\u6697\u9ed1\u6a21\u5f0f\u201d\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e0d\u518d\u4ec5\u9650\u4e8e\u4e0e\u4f0a\u6717\u6709\u5173\u7684\u8239\u53ea\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8513\u5ef6\u81f3\u901a\u5e38\u9014\u7ecf\u8fd9\u4e00\u54bd\u5589\u8981\u9053\u7684\u975e\u5236\u88c1\u6cb9\u6876\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u7269\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u822a\u8fd0\uff0cVortexa \u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vortexa.com\/insights\/dark-hormuz-transits\">\u663e\u793a<\/a> \u5728\u5468\u4e94\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>Vortexa \u6d77\u4e8b\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u60c5\u62a5\u4e3b\u7ba1\u514b\u83b1\u5c14\u00b7\u8363\u683c\u66fc\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u4ecd\u7136\u613f\u610f\u7a7f\u8d8a\u6d77\u5ce1\u7684\u8239\u53ea\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u9009\u62e9\u591c\u95f4\u822a\u884c\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u591c\u95f4\u822a\u884c\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u6784\u6210\u3002\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8363\u683c\u66fc\u8865\u5145\u9053\uff1a\u201d\u901a\u8fc7\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u5173\u95edAIS\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8239\u53ea\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e0d\u518d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u89c4\u907f\u5236\u88c1\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u51b2\u7a81\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u8fd0\u8425\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u786e\u4fdd\u6d77\u6e7e\u8d27\u7269\u80fd\u591f\u901a\u8fc7\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u54bd\u5589\u8981\u9053\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5546\u4e1a\u4e3e\u63aa\u3002\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Jungman\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u5b9e\u65f6\u8ffd\u8e2a\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fd0\u8f93\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\u90fd\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96be\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5f53\u6e05\u6d01\u4ea7\u54c1\u3001\u6db2\u5316\u77f3\u6cb9\u6c14\u548c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u7684 AIS \u53ef\u89c6\u6027\u964d\u4f4e\u65f6\uff0c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5c31\u4f1a\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u70bc\u6cb9\u5382\u4f9b\u5e94\u3001\u4ea7\u54c1\u53ef\u7528\u6027\u3001\u533a\u57df\u5e93\u5b58\u548c\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u9700\u6c42\u8bfb\u6570\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aOilprice.com \u7684 Tsvetana Paraskova<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u66f4\u591a\u6765\u81ea Oilprice.com \u7684\u70ed\u95e8\u6587\u7ae0<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Saudi-Arabia-Expected-to-Slash-Oil-Prices-Again.html\">\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u518d\u6b21\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u6cb9\u4ef7<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Norway-Lobbies-to-Persuade-EU-to-Drop-Arctic-Drilling-Ban.html\">\u632a\u5a01\u6e38\u8bf4\u6b27\u76df\u53d6\u6d88\u5317\u6781\u94bb\u63a2\u7981\u4ee4<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Japan-Crude-Imports-Fell-66-in-April.html\">\u65e5\u672c4\u6708\u4efd\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u4e866613\u4e07\u4ebf\u5428<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Iran war suddenly turned what had started as a year of oversupply in global oil and LNG markets into the worst oil and gas supply disruption in history. Three months after the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran began on February 28, the world has already lost 1 billion barrels of crude oil supply, oil and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":280549882,"featured_media":1964,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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