{"id":2489,"date":"2026-05-31T02:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-30T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mikhailinvest.com\/chinas-oil-buying-pause-wont-last-forever\/"},"modified":"2026-05-31T02:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T23:00:00","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%9a%82%e5%81%9c%e8%b4%ad%e4%b9%b0%e7%9f%b3%e6%b2%b9%e4%b8%8d%e4%bc%9a%e6%b0%b8%e8%bf%9c%e6%8c%81%e7%bb%ad%e4%b8%8b%e5%8e%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mikhailinvest.com\/zh\/chinas-oil-buying-pause-wont-last-forever\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u6682\u505c\u8d2d\u4e70\u77f3\u6cb9\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6c38\u8fdc\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u6210\u529f\u62b5\u5fa1\u77f3\u6cb9\u5371\u673a\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u5178\u8303\u3002\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u4f30\u8ba1\u8d85\u8fc710\u4ebf\u6876\uff0c\u582a\u79f0\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u9886\u57df\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u89c4\u5212\u7684\u5178\u8303\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u771f\u7684\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u672c\u5df2\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u5371\u673a\u5c06\u4f1a\u96ea\u4e0a\u52a0\u971c\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u514b\u666e\u52d2 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kpler.com\/blog\/why-the-real-oil-shock-may-only-begin-when-china-returns\">\u62c9\u54cd\u4e86\u8b66\u62a5<\/a> \u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5a92\u4f53\u66fe\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u5bfc\u81f4\u6cb9\u4ef7\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u70bc\u6cb9\u5546\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u4ece\u6d77\u5916\u8d2d\u4e70\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c\u8fd9\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u4ef7\u683c\u5236\u5b9a\u4e2d\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u636eKpler\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5728\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u7684\u964d\u5e45\u8fdc\u5927\u4e8e\u70bc\u6cb9\u5382\u5f00\u5de5\u7387\u7684\u964d\u5e45\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u4f9d\u8d56\u5e93\u5b58\u77f3\u6cb9\u3002\u4f46\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u548c\u5e45\u5ea6\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\u5feb\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u518d\u6b21\u589e\u52a0\u8fdb\u53e3\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u76ee\u524d\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ef7\u683c\u51fa\u73b0\u5267\u70c8\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u4eba\u4e0d\u5feb\u7684\u56de\u8c03\u3002. 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rel=\"noopener\">\u76f8\u5173\u62a5\u9053\uff1a\u77f3\u6cb9\u5de8\u5934\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u51e0\u5468\u5185\u8dcc\u81f3$160\u7f8e\u5143<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u636eKpler\u9ad8\u7ea7\u539f\u6cb9\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5f90\u6155\u5b87\u672c\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u672c\u6708\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a\u6bcf\u65e5678\u4e07\u6876\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u6708\u5ea6\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\uff0c\u8f834\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u6bcf\u65e5850\u4e07\u6876\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u53c2\u8003\uff0c\u5f90\u6155\u5b87\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u53bb\u5e74\u7684\u65e5\u5747\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u4e3a1066\u4e07\u6876\u30022025\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u65e5\u5747\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u4e2d\u7ea6\u6709100\u4e07\u6876\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u5e93\u5b58\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e93\u5b58\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u88ab\u63d0\u53d6\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3\u56fd\u5185\u71c3\u6599\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u51fa\u53e3\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u636eKpler\u7684\u7a46\u5b87\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u70bc\u6cb9\u5382\u65e5\u5747\u52a0\u5de5\u91cf\u4e3a1350\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u8f834\u6708\u4efd\u4e0b\u964d15.4\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u8f832025\u5e74\u4e0b\u964d\u8d85\u8fc7190\u4e07\u6876\u3002\u4f46\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u97e7\u6027\u5411\u6765\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u56fd\u9645\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5bfc\u81f4\u90e8\u5206\u9700\u6c42\u840e\u7f29\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u5927\u56fd\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u610f\u8ba9\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u964d\u81f3\u5371\u9669\u7684\u4f4e\u4f4d\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fdb\u53e3\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u53cd\u5f39\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u65e9\u524d\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d41\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u2014\u20144\u6708\u4efd\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d2013\u4e07\u4ebf\u5428\u2014\u2014\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u4e70\u5bb6 <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/China-Boosts-Oil-Stockpiles-Despite-Import-Plunge.html\">\u6301\u7eed<\/a> \u4e3a\u4e86\u50a8\u5907\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u70bc\u6cb9\u5546\u51b3\u5b9a\u9884\u7559\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u7528\u4e8e\u50a8\u5b58\u3002\u8def\u900f\u793e\u80fd\u6e90\u4e13\u680f\u4f5c\u5bb6\u514b\u83b1\u5fb7\u00b7\u7f57\u7d20\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e0a\u6708\u65e5\u5747\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u4e3a925\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d240\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u4f46\u70bc\u6cb9\u5546\u4f30\u8ba1\u6bcf\u5929\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ea643\u4e07\u6876\u539f\u6cb9\u5b58\u5165\u4ed3\u5e93\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u826f\u597d\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u7f13\u51b2\u80fd\u529b\u3002Vortexa\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u5219\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c4\u6708\u4efd\u65b0\u589e\u5e93\u5b58\u91cf\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u65e558\u4e07\u6876\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u524d\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u50a8\u5907\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u572812\u4ebf\u81f313\u4ebf\u6876\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002\u5916\u4ea4\u5173\u7cfb\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6218\u7565\u5021\u8bae\u4e3b\u4efb\u62c9\u4ec0\u00b7\u591a\u5e0c(Rush Doshi)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u91cf\u8db3\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u56db\u4e2a\u6708\u3002\u4ed63\u6708\u4efd\u63a5\u53d7CNBC\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb20\u5e74\u91cc\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u6d77\u4e0a\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fd0\u8f93\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u90e8\u5206\u7f13\u51b2\u8d44\u91d1\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u5e03\u5236\u88c1\u8c41\u514d\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u6cb9\u4ef7\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d7\u5236\u88c1\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002Kpler\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6155\u5b87\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u539f\u6cb9\u5f81\u653622.51\u4e07\u4ebf\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u62a5\u590d\u6027\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u77f3\u6cb9\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u4e70\u5bb6\u7684\u8d2d\u4e70\u9009\u62e9\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u6d77\u5916\u4e70\u5bb6\u66f4\u5c11\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f4d\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u8c41\u514d\u4ec5\u6db5\u76d64\u670817\u65e5\u4e4b\u524d\u88c5\u8239\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u9879\u8c41\u514d\u5c06\u57286\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u5de6\u53f3\u5230\u671f\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7a46\u5b87\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5bf9\u53d7\u5236\u88c1\u8c41\u514d\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u539f\u6cb9\u4e5f\u5c55\u5f00\u4e86\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u70bc\u6cb9\u5546\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u70bc\u6cb9\u5546\u7684\u5e93\u5b58\u5c1a\u6709\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u72b6\u51b5\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u592a\u4e45\u3002\u636e\u514b\u666e\u52d2\u79f0\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u2019\u5c0f\u70bc\u6cb9\u5382\u201d\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u4ec5\u591f\u7ef4\u6301\u52306\u6708\u521d\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u505c\u706b\u6d88\u606f\u4f20\u51fa\u540e\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6709\u6240\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4ecd\u7136\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6218\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u201c\u5c0f\u70bc\u6cb9\u5382\u201d\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u5f00\u5de5\u7387\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4e3a\u540c\u6837\u9762\u4e34\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u9009\u62e9\u6709\u9650\u7684\u56fd\u6709\u70bc\u6cb9\u5546\u817e\u51fa\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u800c\u5317\u4eac\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u770b\u5230\u5176\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u70bc\u6cb9\u5546\u5c06\u5f88\u5feb\u91cd\u8fd4\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u2014\u2014\u800c\u6b64\u65f6\u6b63\u503c\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5371\u673a\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u5371\u673a\u53ef\u80fd\u57287\u6708\u62168\u6708\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u5176\u79d8\u4e66\u957f\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\u77f3\u6cb9\u4f9b\u5e94\u7684\u201c\u7ea2\u8272\u8b66\u6212\u533a\u201d\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u4e70\u5bb6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u548c\u53ef\u83b7\u53d6\u6027\u90fd\u5904\u4e8e\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u65f6\u671f\u5f00\u59cb\u52a0\u5927\u91c7\u8d2d\u529b\u5ea6\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aIrina Slav\uff0c\u6765\u6e90\uff1aOilprice.com<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u66f4\u591a\u6765\u81ea Oilprice.com \u7684\u70ed\u95e8\u6587\u7ae0<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Saudi-Arabia-Expected-to-Slash-Oil-Prices-Again.html\">\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u518d\u6b21\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u6cb9\u4ef7<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Norway-Lobbies-to-Persuade-EU-to-Drop-Arctic-Drilling-Ban.html\">\u632a\u5a01\u6e38\u8bf4\u6b27\u76df\u53d6\u6d88\u5317\u6781\u94bb\u63a2\u7981\u4ee4<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Japan-Crude-Imports-Fell-66-in-April.html\">\u65e5\u672c4\u6708\u4efd\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u4e866613\u4e07\u4ebf\u5428<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China has been cited as an example of a country that has managed to insulate itself relatively well against oil crises. With over a billion barrels in estimated inventories before the war in the Middle East started, China was the poster child of forward planning in energy security. But this could change, and if it 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