{"id":2461,"date":"2026-05-29T17:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mikhailinvest.com\/supermajor-warns-oil-prices-could-hit-160-within-weeks\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T17:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T14:00:00","slug":"%e7%9f%b3%e6%b2%b9%e5%b7%a8%e5%a4%b4%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e5%9c%a8%e5%87%a0%e5%91%a8%e5%86%85%e8%be%be%e5%88%b0160%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e3%80%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mikhailinvest.com\/zh\/supermajor-warns-oil-prices-could-hit-160-within-weeks\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8d85\u7ea7\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u51e0\u5468\u5185\u8dcc\u81f3$160\u7f8e\u5143\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5927\u7ea6\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u5bf9\u2026\u2026\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8ba1\u7b97\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/commodities\/how-long-world-hits-crude-oil-operational-minimum-jpmorgan-does-math\">\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u539f\u6cb9\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f55\u65f6\u624d\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd0\u8425\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff1f\u201d<\/a> \u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bb9\u7eb3\u6570\u4ebf\u6876\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u65e6\u53ef\u7528\u5e93\u5b58\u8fc7\u4f4e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u53d8\u5f97\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u5c31\u50cf\u4eba\u4f53\u5185\u7684\u8840\u538b\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\u5faa\u73af\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5927\u7ea64\u5468\u540e\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u53c8\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6570\u5b66\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5206\u6790\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\u660e\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/commodities\/illusion-plenty-jpmorgan-explains-why-hormuz-strait-will-reopen-september-one-way-or\">\u201c\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u53f7\u5217\u8f66\u4e3a\u4f55\u5c06\u5728\u4e5d\u6708\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u2026\u2026\u65e0\u8bba\u5982\u4f55\u3002\u201d<\/a> \u8be5\u94f6\u884c\u8ba1\u7b97\u5f97\u51fa\uff0c\u52302026\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u4e3a84\u4ebf\u6876\uff0c, <strong>\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u7ed9\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e26\u6765\u8fd0\u884c\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u53ef\u7528\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u50a8\u91cf\u53ea\u6709 0.8 \u4ebf\u6876\u3002.<\/strong> \u957f\u8bdd\u77ed\u8bf4\uff08\u800c\u957f\u8bdd\u77ed\u8bf4\uff09 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/commodities\/illusion-plenty-jpmorgan-explains-why-hormuz-strait-will-reopen-september-one-way-or\">\u5728\u6b64\u5904\u627e\u5230<\/a>\u5982\u679c\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u95ed\uff0c\u7ecf\u5408\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5546\u4e1a\u5e93\u5b58\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 6 \u6708\u4efd\u964d\u81f3\u8fd0\u8425\u538b\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5728 9 \u6708\u4efd\u8dcc\u81f3\u5168\u7403\u8fd0\u8425\u5e95\u7ebf\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u9700\u6c42\u7834\u574f\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728 550 \u4e07\u6876\/\u65e5\uff08\u81ea\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u4e0a\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u53d1\u8868\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u81ea\u6b64\u4ee5\u6765\u53cd\u800c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u7834\u574f\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5df2\u7ecf\u653e\u7f13\uff09\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u963b\u585e\u5bfc\u81f4\u6bcf\u5929\u7ea61000\u4e07\u6876\u77f3\u6cb9\u65e0\u6cd5\u62b5\u8fbe\u76ee\u7684\u5730\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u65f6\u671f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6096\u8bba\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u975e\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u57283\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c\u540e\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u53d1\u5e03\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff1a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/jpmorgan-finds-something-global-oil-math\">\u201c\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u6570\u5b66\u201d\u51fa\u4e86\u70b9\u95ee\u9898\u201d<\/a>\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2026\u2026\u4ee5\u53ca\u9ad8\u76db <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/energy\/global-oil-inventories-plunge-record-87mmbd-may\">\u51e0\u5468\u540e\u8fdb\u884c\u540e\u7eed\u8ddf\u8fdb<\/a> \u901a\u8fc7\u89c2\u5bdf\u4e94\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c, <strong>\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u6bcf\u65e5\u51cf\u5c11870\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u521b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6cb9\u7530\u4ecd\u57fa\u672c\u5904\u4e8e\u5c01\u9501\u72b6\u6001\u3002.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c5 \u6708\u4efd\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u5404\u79cd\u5b98\u65b9\u548c\u975e\u5b98\u65b9\u6d88\u606f\u6765\u6e90\u6bcf\u5929\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u884c\u8206\u8bba\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6697\u793a\u4f0a\u6717\u534f\u8bae\u5373\u5c06\u8fbe\u6210\u2026\u2026\u968f\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u6210\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5e76\u975e\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u613f\u610f\u89c6\u800c\u4e0d\u89c1\uff0c\u4f46\u4e1a\u5185\u5de8\u5934\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u518d\u4fdd\u6301\u6c89\u9ed8\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u96ea\u4f5b\u9f99\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u8fc8\u514b\u00b7\u6c83\u65af\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u5bfc\u81f4\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u6cb9\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u76ee\u524d\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u5df2\u63a5\u8fd1\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\u3002.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201c\u7f13\u51b2\u673a\u5236\u548c\u51cf\u9707\u5668\u6b63\u5728\u9010\u6b65\u88ab\u6d88\u8017\u6b86\u5c3d\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u5e02\u573a\u5438\u6536\u8fd9\u79cd\u5931\u8861\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u4e0e\u6700\u521d\u76f8\u6bd4\u5df2\u7ecf\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u201d<\/strong> 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80% \u7684\u6d41\u91cf\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u5168\u9762\u6062\u590d\u5230 2027 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u751a\u81f3\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u4e4b\u524d\u90fd\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u201d<\/strong> 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\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u5e93\u5b58\u964d\u81f3\u6781\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982$150\u6216$160\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u5c31\u4f1a\u7ed9\u51fa\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u5f53\u4ef7\u683c\u8fbe\u5230\u67d0\u4e2a\u6c34\u5e73\u65f6\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u9aa4\u51cf\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5176\u6062\u590d\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u4ef7\u683c\u4f1a\u9ad8\u5230\u4ee4\u4eba\u96be\u4ee5\u627f\u53d7\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u6700\u7ec8\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u800c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5c31\u5904\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6c34\u5e73\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u67e5\u666e\u66fc\u5c06\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6240\u6709\u8981\u70b9\u8054\u7cfb\u8d77\u6765\uff1a <em>\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u516d\u5468\u5de6\u53f3\u4e00\u76f4\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 $90 \u5230 $110 \u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u786e\u5b9e\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e93\u5b58\u4e0b\u964d\u800c\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u7f13\u89e3\u3002. <\/em><strong>\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u6c38\u8fdc\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002.<\/strong><em> 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Zerohedge<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u66f4\u591a\u6765\u81ea Oilprice.com \u7684\u70ed\u95e8\u6587\u7ae0<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Saudi-Arabia-Expected-to-Slash-Oil-Prices-Again.html\">\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u518d\u6b21\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u6cb9\u4ef7<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Norway-Lobbies-to-Persuade-EU-to-Drop-Arctic-Drilling-Ban.html\">\u632a\u5a01\u6e38\u8bf4\u6b27\u76df\u53d6\u6d88\u5317\u6781\u94bb\u63a2\u7981\u4ee4<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Japan-Crude-Imports-Fell-66-in-April.html\">\u65e5\u672c4\u6708\u4efd\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u4e866613\u4e07\u4ebf\u5428<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Just about two months ago, JPMorgan did the math on &#8220;How 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